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Volume 126, Supplement 1, October 2018
1. Title: Gary Becker Remembered.
Authors: Heckman, James J.; Lazear, Edward P.; Murphy, Kevin M.
Abstract: The article focuses on the life and works of American economist and social scientist Gary Becker, who believed that economics could and should tackle serious social problems. According to the author, Becker's approach was to extend the boundaries of economics to topics such as education, discrimination and crime.
2. Title: A Theory of Intergenerational Mobility
Authors: Becker, Gary S.; Murphy, Kevin M.; Kominers, Scott Duke; Spenkuch, Jörg L.
Abstract: We study the link between market forces, cross-sectional inequality, and intergenerational mobility. Emphasizing complementarities in the production of human capital, we show that wealthy parents invest, on average, more in their offspring than poorer ones. As a result, economic status persists across generations even in a world with perfect capital markets and without differences in innate ability. In fact, under certain conditions, successive generations of the same family may cease to regress toward the mean. We also consider how short- and long-run mobility are affected by changes in the returns to human capital.
3. Title: The Marriage Market, Labor Supply, and Education Choice
Authors: Chiappori, Pierre-André; Dias, Monica Costa; Meghir, Costas.
Abstract: We develop an equilibrium life cycle model of education, marriage, labor supply, and consumption in a transferable utility context. Individuals start by choosing their investments in education anticipating returns in the marriage market and the labor market. They then match on the basis of the economic value of marriage and preferences. Equilibrium in the marriage market determines intrahousehold allocation of resources. Following marriage households (married or single) save, supply labor, and consume private and public commodities under uncertainty. Marriage thus has the dual role of providing public goods and offering risk sharing. The model is estimated using the British Household Panel Survey.
4. Title: Children, Time Allocation, and Consumption Insurance.
Authors: Blundell, Richard; Pistaferri, Luigi; Saporta-Eksten, Itay.
Abstract: We study choices of households deciding on consumption and allocation of spouses’ time to work, leisure, and child care. With uncertainty, the allocation of goods and time over the life cycle also serves the purpose of smoothing marginal utility in response to shocks. Combining data on consumption, wages, hours of work, and time spent with children, we compute the sensitivity of consumption and time allocation to transitory and permanent wage shocks. We find that family labor supply responses depend on three counteracting forces: complementarity of leisure time, substitutability of time in the production of child services, and added worker effects.
5. Title: Social Norms in Social Insurance.
Authors: Lindbeck, Assar; Persson, Mats.
Abstract: We analyze how insurance arrangements, labor supply, moral hazard, and outright cheating are affected by social norms. One question is under what conditions norms may improve social welfare. Another is under what conditions people should be allowed to opt out of social insurance. We introduce an informal production sector to analyze the consequences of alternative assumptions about the information available to norm enforcers. This highlights one important aspect of norms, namely, that they may compensate for the insurer’s limited information.
6. Title: Demographics and Entrepreneurship
Authors: Liang, James; Wang, Hui; Lazear, Edward P.
Abstract: Entrepreneurship requires energy and creativity as well as business acumen. Some factors that contribute to entrepreneurship decline with age, but business skills increase with experience in high-level positions. Having too many older workers in society slows entrepreneurship. When older workers occupy key positions, they block younger workers from acquiring skills. A theory is formulated and tested using the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor data. A one standard deviation decrease in a country’s median age increases new business formation by 2.5 percentage points, which is about 40 percent of the mean rate. Furthermore, older societies have lower rates of entrepreneurship at every age.
7. Title: Returns to Education: The Causal Effects of Education on Earnings, Health, and Smoking
Authors: Heckman, James J.; Humphries, John Eric; Veramendi, Gregory.
Abstract: This paper estimates returns to education using a dynamic model of educational choice that synthesizes approaches in the structural dynamic discrete choice literature with approaches used in the reduced-form treatment effect literature. It is an empirically robust middle ground between the two approaches that estimates economically interpretable and policy-relevant dynamic treatment effects that account for heterogeneity in cognitive and noncognitive skills and the continuation values of educational choices. Graduating from college is not a wise choice for all. Ability bias is a major component of observed educational differentials. For some, there are substantial causal effects of education at all stages of schooling.
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